American manufacturing activity fell during the first couple months of the year, says Business Insider. This means that as growth slows and trade tensions continue to drag on, the sector could be headed for a recession. Manufacturing accounts for about 12% of the US economy. Because of this, a short recession in the sector wouldn't bring the rest of the economy down with it. One economist said, "We're sticking to our view that the sector will be in recession through mid-year."